Hockey Challenge Picks

Today's contest

Today's Tim Hortons Hockey Challenge Picks — November 2, 2026

All 3 sets, player stats and our estimated chance to score. The Best pick badge marks the highest Goal % in each set.

Picks open 4 games 43 players Contest updated Stats updated

Permalink for this date · Past picks

Games on the slate

  • DET@FLA

    Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers

    DET Daniil Tarasov0.79 GAA · Proj FLA Akira Schmid2.86 GAA · Proj

  • VGK@BOS

    Vegas Golden Knights at Boston Bruins

    VGK Carter Hart2.76 GAA · Proj BOS Jeremy Swayman2.35 GAA · Proj

  • COL@CHI

    Colorado Avalanche at Chicago Blackhawks

    COL Mackenzie Blackwood2.73 GAA · Proj CHI Spencer Knight3.21 GAA · Proj

  • CGY@SJS

    Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks

    CGY Dustin Wolf4.38 GAA · Proj SJS Yaroslav Askarov3.01 GAA · Proj

Set 1 picks

13 players

Top 3 by Goal % 1Nathan MacKinnon 55%2Artturi Lehkonen 49%3Macklin Celebrini 49%

Player Goal % Opp EVPP G/GP Shots/GP TOI Opp GAA Last 5 Pos GP G Sh% PP TOI
Nathan MacKinnon Best pick 55% COL @ CHI F1PP1 0.64 4.1 20:38 3.21 P 3 C 14 9 15.8% 4:02
Artturi Lehkonen 49% COL @ CHI F1PP2 0.86 2.0 18:42 3.21 P 6 L 14 12 42.9% 1:32
Macklin Celebrini 49% SJS vs CGY F1PP1 0.38 4.0 22:40 4.39 P 0 C 13 5 9.6% 4:14
Martin Necas 45% COL @ CHI F1PP1 0.50 2.1 19:57 3.21 P 2 C 14 7 23.3% 3:31
Brady Tkachuk 42% FLA vs DET F1PP1 0.57 3.3 16:26 1.40 P 2 L 14 8 17.4% 4:35
Sam Reinhart 42% FLA vs DET F2PP1 0.50 3.1 20:11 1.40 P 2 C 14 7 16.3% 5:17
David Pastrnak 40% BOS vs VGK F1PP1 0.53 3.3 20:21 2.76 P 4 R 15 8 16.0% 3:37
Carter Verhaeghe 39% FLA vs DET F2PP1 0.57 2.0 18:17 1.40 P 2 C 14 8 28.6% 3:56
Connor Bedard 39% CHI vs COL F1PP1 0.50 3.0 20:30 2.73 P 3 C 8 4 16.7% 4:07
Mark Stone 37% VGK @ BOS F1PP1 0.60 2.0 18:15 2.35 P 2 R 15 9 30.0% 3:23
Alex DeBrincat 36% DET @ FLA F1PP1 0.43 3.6 19:54 2.86 P 0 R 14 6 11.8% 3:44
Jack Eichel 30% VGK @ BOS F1PP1 0.47 2.5 19:40 2.35 P 2 C 15 7 18.4% 3:40
Matthew Tkachuk 30% FLA vs DET F1PP1 0.29 2.1 18:50 1.40 P 1 L 14 4 13.8% 5:28
Column guide

Goal % – Chance to score at least 1 goal (our model) · Result – Goals in this game · Opp – Opponent (vs = home, @ = away) · EV Line / PP Line – even-strength line and power-play unit (shown when known) · G/GP – Goals per Game · Shots/GP – Shots per Game · TOI – Time on Ice per Game · Opp GAA – Opposing Goalie's Goals-Against Average (C = confirmed starter, P = projected starter, S = most starts this season; team average if unavailable) · Last 5 – Goals in the Last 5 Games · Pos – Position · GP – Games Played · G – Goals · Sh% – Shooting Percentage · PP TOI – Power-Play Time on Ice per Game. Lines, injuries & starting goalies: DailyFaceoff, RotoWire.

Set 2 picks

15 players

Top 3 by Goal % 1Viktor Arvidsson 35%2Gabriel Landeskog 31%3Lucas Raymond 30%

Player Goal % Opp EVPP G/GP Shots/GP TOI Opp GAA Last 5 Pos GP G Sh% PP TOI
Viktor Arvidsson Best pick 35% DET @ FLA F1PP1 0.57 2.8 18:50 2.86 P 4 L 14 8 20.5% 3:35
Gabriel Landeskog 31% COL @ CHI F2PP2 0.36 1.2 15:15 3.21 P 2 L 14 5 29.4% 1:58
Lucas Raymond 30% DET @ FLA F2PP1 0.36 3.1 20:24 2.86 P 4 L 14 5 11.6% 3:54
Matvei Gridin 29% CGY @ SJS F2PP1 0.36 2.4 15:36 3.01 P 4 R 14 5 15.2% 2:21
Elias Lindholm 27% BOS vs VGK F3PP1 0.33 1.7 16:53 2.76 P 2 C 15 5 19.2% 2:45
Morgan Frost 26% CGY @ SJS F3PP1 0.29 1.9 15:11 3.01 P 1 C 14 4 15.4% 2:20
Morgan Geekie 26% BOS vs VGK F2PP1 0.13 1.3 17:02 2.76 P 1 C 15 2 10.0% 3:13
Ivar Stenberg 26% SJS vs CGY F3PP1 0.20 1.3 16:16 4.39 P 1 L 15 3 15.0% 3:24
Sam Bennett 26% FLA vs DET F1PP2 0.21 2.4 17:43 1.40 P 0 C 14 3 8.8% 3:05
Fraser Minten 24% BOS vs VGK F2PP2 0.33 2.1 16:27 2.76 P 1 C 15 5 15.6% 1:31
JJ Peterka 24% BOS vs VGK F1PP2 0.27 2.0 17:29 2.76 P 1 R 15 4 13.3% 2:00
James Hagens 22% BOS vs VGK F3PP2 0.33 1.8 13:10 2.76 P 2 C 15 5 18.5% 1:40
Ivan Barbashev 17% VGK @ BOS F1PP2 0.13 1.3 16:13 2.35 P 2 L 15 2 10.0% 0:51
Patrick Kane 16% CHI vs COL F3PP1 0.07 1.8 18:35 2.73 P 0 R 14 1 4.0% 3:32
Ryan Donato 15% CHI vs COL F1PP2 0.14 1.1 11:56 2.73 P 0 C 14 2 13.3% 1:07
Column guide

Goal % – Chance to score at least 1 goal (our model) · Result – Goals in this game · Opp – Opponent (vs = home, @ = away) · EV Line / PP Line – even-strength line and power-play unit (shown when known) · G/GP – Goals per Game · Shots/GP – Shots per Game · TOI – Time on Ice per Game · Opp GAA – Opposing Goalie's Goals-Against Average (C = confirmed starter, P = projected starter, S = most starts this season; team average if unavailable) · Last 5 – Goals in the Last 5 Games · Pos – Position · GP – Games Played · G – Goals · Sh% – Shooting Percentage · PP TOI – Power-Play Time on Ice per Game. Lines, injuries & starting goalies: DailyFaceoff, RotoWire.

Set 3 picks

15 players

Top 3 by Goal % 1Casey Mittelstadt 24%2Brett Howden 19%3Jacob Trouba 16%

Player Goal % Opp EVPP G/GP Shots/GP TOI Opp GAA Last 5 Pos GP G Sh% PP TOI
Casey Mittelstadt Best pick 24% BOS vs VGK F3PP2 0.33 1.5 14:04 2.76 P 3 C 15 5 22.7% 1:25
Brett Howden 19% VGK @ BOS F3 0.33 1.5 15:25 2.35 P 1 C 15 5 22.7% 0:01
Jacob Trouba 16% SJS vs CGY D1PP2 0.13 1.4 22:27 4.39 P 1 D 15 2 9.5% 1:07
Nicolas Roy 16% COL @ CHI F2 0.25 1.3 11:53 3.21 P 0 C 8 2 20.0% 0:00
Martin Pospisil 15% CGY @ SJS F2 0.21 1.7 13:43 3.01 P 2 C 14 3 12.5% 0:02
Braeden Bowman 13% VGK @ BOS F3PP2 0.20 1.2 13:40 2.35 P 1 R 15 3 16.7% 1:16
Seth Jones 12% FLA vs DET D2PP1 0.14 2.6 24:52 1.40 P 1 D 14 2 5.4% 4:49
J.T. Compher 12% DET @ FLA F3 0.14 1.4 14:32 2.86 P 1 L 7 1 10.0% 0:05
Dmitry Orlov 12% SJS vs CGY D3PP1 0.13 1.0 18:10 4.39 P 1 D 15 2 13.3% 2:45
Rasmus Andersson 12% VGK @ BOS D3PP2 0.13 1.7 19:18 2.35 P 0 D 15 2 7.7% 1:12
Eetu Luostarinen 11% FLA vs DET F3PP2 0.14 1.3 16:04 1.40 P 0 C 14 2 11.1% 1:38
Zayne Parekh 9% CGY @ SJS D3PP1 0.07 1.8 17:34 3.01 P 1 D 14 1 4.0% 2:21
Michael Brandsegg-Nygård 9% DET @ FLA F2PP2 0.14 2.0 15:33 2.86 P 0 R 14 2 7.1% 1:33
Michael Rasmussen 8% DET @ FLA F3PP2 0.07 1.4 16:27 2.86 P 1 C 14 1 5.3% 1:38
Logan O'Connor DTD 7% COL @ CHI 0.00 2.0 13:24 3.21 P 0 R 3 0 0.0% 0:00
Column guide

Goal % – Chance to score at least 1 goal (our model) · Result – Goals in this game · Opp – Opponent (vs = home, @ = away) · EV Line / PP Line – even-strength line and power-play unit (shown when known) · G/GP – Goals per Game · Shots/GP – Shots per Game · TOI – Time on Ice per Game · Opp GAA – Opposing Goalie's Goals-Against Average (C = confirmed starter, P = projected starter, S = most starts this season; team average if unavailable) · Last 5 – Goals in the Last 5 Games · Pos – Position · GP – Games Played · G – Goals · Sh% – Shooting Percentage · PP TOI – Power-Play Time on Ice per Game. Lines, injuries & starting goalies: DailyFaceoff, RotoWire.

How the chance to score works

Goal % is an estimate of the probability a player scores at least one goal (overtime counts, shootout does not). It blends this season's goals per game, the last 10 games and last season / career rates, then adjusts for the opponent's goalie, line and power-play usage, injuries and a small home-ice bump. It is a guide, not a guarantee — hockey is random. Read the full method.

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